Newcastle (AW)

Monday, 13 April 2026 · 1m · Standard · flat · Class Class 6 · £3,245

upcomingLast analysed: 12/04/2026, 21:54:47

Race Assessment

Competitive Class 6 handicap at Newcastle with 11 runners. Several course specialists and horses with recent form. Key battle looks to be between Barleybrown (course specialist with 4 wins here in 2024) and the improving Lady Delila with first-time visor.

Key Factors

  • Course form at Newcastle
  • Recent form trends
  • Equipment changes
  • Weight assignments
  • Trainer/jockey combinations

Going

Standard Newcastle all-weather conditions should suit most runners, with no obvious ground-dependent horses in the field

Pace

Likely moderate pace with several hold-up horses. Trais Fluors and potentially Falaise Blanc could press forward early, but most prefer to come from off the pace

Recommendations (1)

Lady Delila

eachway8/10Confidence: 7/10

First-time visor on improving mare who finished strong second at Wolverhampton last time. Trainer has excellent 14% strike rate with 6-year-olds at positive profit. Bottom weight of 125lbs is a significant advantage in handicap company. Equipment change combined with improving form trend and favourable conditions makes this solid each-way value at 5.5.

Suggested stake: 2.0% of bank

Runner Analysis

Barleybrown

6/10Conf: 7/10

Course specialist with 4 wins here in 2024 and recent placed efforts. Strong statistical profile at this distance (22% strike rate, A/E 1.53) and profitable trainer-jockey combination. Recent form solid with third last time out.

Fair odds: 4.5
Market: 5.5
Edge: 22%
Strengths
  • + Excellent course record
  • + Strong distance stats
  • + Profitable trainer-jockey combo
Concerns
  • - Modest recent trainer form
  • - Carrying top weight

Lady Delila

8/10Conf: 7/10

Improving mare with first-time visor replacing hood/cheekpieces. Recent form shows progression with close second at Wolverhampton. Well-handicapped on bottom weight and trainer has excellent record with 6-year-olds.

Fair odds: 4.0
Market: 5.5
Edge: 38%
Strengths
  • + First-time visor
  • + Bottom weight
  • + Improving form trend
  • + Trainer's 6yo record
Concerns
  • - Winless in 17 career starts
  • - Poor jockey-trainer combination stats

The Cookstown Cafu

5/10Conf: 5/10

Has been absent for 105 days but was a course winner in October 2024. Top jockey booking is significant and trainer-jockey combination shows strong profit. Distance form is solid but needs to bounce back from quiet end to last season.

Fair odds: 6.5
Market: 7.0
Edge: 8%
Strengths
  • + Previous C&D winner
  • + Top jockey booking
  • + Profitable trainer-jockey stats
Concerns
  • - Long absence
  • - Poor recent form
  • - Trainer weak at this distance

Trais Fluors

4/10Conf: 6/10

Newcastle specialist with last 5 wins here including C&D victory in January. Drops 1lb from winning mark but operating at lower level recently. Strong course record and trainer profitable here.

Fair odds: 9.0
Market: 10.0
Edge: 11%
Strengths
  • + Excellent course record
  • + Recent C&D winner
  • + Weight drop
Concerns
  • - Age (12 years old)
  • - Operating at lower level
  • - Poor distance stats for trainer

Book Of Life

4/10Conf: 5/10

Consistent placer with three seconds in 2026 including over C&D. Recent run was decent and quick return suggests connections confident. However, poor win record (2-37) is a major concern.

Fair odds: 6.5
Market: 6.0
Edge: -8%
Strengths
  • + Recent consistency
  • + Quick return
  • + C&D placed form
Concerns
  • - Poor win record
  • - Never won at this distance
  • - Trainer struggling

Berkshire Phantom

3/10Conf: 4/10

Long absence of 106 days is concerning after poor last run. Has shown ability in the past and trainer-owner combination has decent record, but negative trainer-jockey stats are worrying.

Fair odds: 9.0
Market: 7.5
Edge: -17%
Strengths
  • + Previous course form
  • + Trainer good with owner
Concerns
  • - Long absence
  • - Poor trainer-jockey record
  • - Never won at distance

Teggy Lasso

4/10Conf: 4/10

Lightly raced but regressing on all-weather surfaces. First-time tongue-tie added to cheekpieces might help but form trend is negative. Trainer in good form recently which is positive.

Fair odds: 7.0
Market: 6.5
Edge: -7%
Strengths
  • + Lightly raced
  • + Equipment changes
  • + Trainer in form
Concerns
  • - Regressing on surface
  • - Poor recent form
  • - Never won at distance

Mercurius Power

4/10Conf: 5/10

Regular placer but form dipped last time and no win since August 2024. Profitable trainer-jockey combination but poor distance record for trainer is concerning.

Fair odds: 11.0
Market: 12.0
Edge: 9%
Strengths
  • + Course experience
  • + Profitable trainer-jockey combo
Concerns
  • - Form dipped last time
  • - No recent wins
  • - Poor trainer distance record

Rocket Rod

2/10Conf: 3/10

Massive absence and poor return run in February makes this very difficult. Course form exists but everything points to watching rather than backing.

Fair odds: 25.0
Market: 23.0
Edge: -8%
Strengths
  • + Previous course form
Concerns
  • - Massive absence
  • - Poor return run
  • - Age (9)
  • - Negative trainer stats

Sassy Glory

3/10Conf: 4/10

Rare winner who has been poor since C&D success in September. Apprentice jockey with no course wins is another negative. Distance form is limited but positive.

Fair odds: 18.0
Market: 17.0
Edge: -6%
Strengths
  • + Previous C&D winner
  • + Good at this distance
Concerns
  • - Rare winner overall
  • - Poor since last win
  • - Jockey has no course wins

Falaise Blanc

3/10Conf: 3/10

Previous course winner but awful return run last month needs to be ignored. Blinkers remain on but needs major improvement to feature.

Fair odds: 22.0
Market: 21.0
Edge: -5%
Strengths
  • + Previous course winner
  • + Retained blinkers
Concerns
  • - Awful last run
  • - Poor trainer course record
  • - Needs major improvement

No Value

Barleybrown

Course specialist and likely favourite but odds of 5.5 accurately reflect his strong claims

Book Of Life

Consistent placer with fair each-way claims but odds of 6.0 offer no value given poor win record

Trais Fluors

Course specialist with genuine claims but 10.0 fairly reflects his chances despite age concerns

Avoid

Rocket Rod

Massive absence of 2 years before poor return run in February, now 48 days since that effort - fitness major concern

Falaise Blanc

Awful reappearance effort last month needs to be completely ignored for any chance - form trend extremely negative

Runners (11)

PosDrawHorseJockeyTrainerORWeightOddsValue
-1Lady DelilaCam HardieIain Jardine49125lbs5.58/10
-2Rocket RodSean KirraneGeoffrey Harker58134lbs23.02/10
-3Falaise BlancGreg FairleyKatie Scott48124lbs21.03/10
-4Trais FluorsAlex Jary(3)Linda Perratt54130lbs10.04/10
-5BarleybrownJoanna MasonRuth Carr59135lbs5.56/10
-6Teggy LassoJason HartIvan Furtado55131lbs6.54/10
-7Sassy GloryKyle McHugh(7)Mark Walford52128lbs17.03/10
-8Berkshire PhantomOisin McSweeneyFionn McSharry56132lbs7.53/10
-9Mercurius PowerGeorge WoodJessica Macey58134lbs12.04/10
-10The Cookstown CafuDaniel TudhopeFionn McSharry59135lbs7.05/10
-11Book Of LifeDavid NolanPatrick Morris57133lbs6.04/10