Wincanton

Sunday, 12 April 2026 · 1m7f · Good · hurdle · Class Class 5 · £3,565

completedLast analysed: 12/04/2026, 20:37:47

Race Assessment

A modest Class 5 handicap hurdle with several horses dropping in class after recent competitive efforts. The form appears solid enough with Prince Rhinegold's second at this track last month providing a useful line. Victory Shout looks the most progressive having won well at Taunton.

Key Factors

  • Recent course form
  • Class dropping
  • Distance preferences
  • Ground conditions

Going

Good ground suits several runners including Ribba Hill who was second here on similar going. The drying conditions help Forest Hills but may not be ideal for all runners.

Pace

Likely steady early pace with Little Lady Lucy potentially making all if allowed. Victory Shout and Ugo Bingo should be prominent throughout, with the pace likely to quicken from 3 out.

Recommendations (1)

Victory Shout (FR)

win7/10Confidence: 7/10

Most progressive horse in field having won well at Taunton after break. Returns to more suitable shorter trip having been beaten by a good performance here over longer distance. Represents the Joe Tizzard stable in good form and looks fairly treated off current mark.

Suggested stake: 2.5% of bank

Runner Analysis

Prince Rhinegold (IRE)

5/10Conf: 5/10

Ran well when second at this course last month but disappointed badly here 11 days ago. Can be inconsistent but the course form is a positive and he's dropping slightly in class.

Fair odds: 7.0
Market: 7.5
Edge: 7%
Strengths
  • + Course form
  • + Recent second here
Concerns
  • - Inconsistent
  • - Poor last run

Postponed Legacy

4/10Conf: 4/10

Progressive until poor effort at Taunton five weeks ago when racing freely and jumping badly. The break may help but now looks on a challenging mark after his rapid rise.

Fair odds: 9.0
Market: 8.0
Edge: -11%
Strengths
  • + Previous progression
  • + Fresher after break
Concerns
  • - Jumped poorly last time
  • - Challenging mark

Anthracite (GB)

2/10Conf: 3/10

Has shown little worthwhile form under either code and was 80-1 when well beaten last time. First-time cheekpieces are the only positive angle but hard to fancy.

Fair odds: 8.0
Market: 5.5
Edge: -31%
Strengths
  • + First-time cheekpieces
Concerns
  • - Poor form record
  • - Well beaten last time

Ribba Hill (IRE)

6/10Conf: 6/10

Good second here three weeks ago on favoured going and that winner followed up easily. Dropping back in trip but has a solid chance off just 1lb higher on the same track where he ran well.

Fair odds: 5.5
Market: 6.0
Edge: 9%
Strengths
  • + Course form
  • + Favoured ground
  • + Recent good effort
Concerns
  • - Dropping in trip
  • - 0-6 over hurdles

Forest Hills (IRE)

1/10Conf: 2/10

Completely tailed off in all three hurdles runs and shows no aptitude for obstacles. Even off a low mark, hard to see any improvement forthcoming.

Fair odds: 60.0
Market: 51.0
Edge: -15%
Strengths
  • + Low weight
  • + Drying ground helps
Concerns
  • - No hurdles form
  • - Completely outclassed

Victory Shout (FR)

7/10Conf: 7/10

Won well at Taunton after a break then wasn't disgraced when beaten here over longer trip. Returning to shorter distance and looks the most progressive horse in the field.

Fair odds: 3.8
Market: 4.3
Edge: 14%
Strengths
  • + Recent winner
  • + Back to preferred trip
  • + Progressive
Concerns
  • - Penalised after recent win
  • - Beaten last time here

Ugo Bingo (FR)

5/10Conf: 5/10

Has slipped to a workable mark but new headgear didn't spark improvement last month when wilting to fourth here. Needs to find more despite the handicapper's help.

Fair odds: 4.5
Market: 4.3
Edge: -4%
Strengths
  • + Good mark
  • + Course experience
Concerns
  • - Didn't improve for new headgear
  • - Wilted last time here

Saucats (FR)

4/10Conf: 4/10

Longstanding maiden over hurdles who ran respectably behind Victory Shout at Taunton but no obvious reason why he should reverse those placings here on similar terms.

Fair odds: 8.0
Market: 7.5
Edge: -6%
Strengths
  • + Consistent efforts
  • + Not disgraced recently
Concerns
  • - Hurdles maiden
  • - Inferior to Victory Shout

Little Lady Lucy (IRE)

1/10Conf: 2/10

Winless in 11 attempts over hurdles and achieved nothing in three runs after recent absence. Hard to see any reason for optimism despite bottom weight.

Fair odds: 40.0
Market: 34.0
Edge: -15%
Strengths
  • + Bottom weight
Concerns
  • - 0-11 over hurdles
  • - No form after break

No Value

Ugo Bingo (FR)

Joint-favourite but showed no improvement for headgear change last time and wilted when the pace quickened here

Avoid

Forest Hills (IRE)

Completely tailed off in all three hurdles runs showing no aptitude for obstacles

Little Lady Lucy (IRE)

0-11 over hurdles with no form shown after recent break

Runners (9)

PosDrawHorseJockeyTrainerORWeightOddsValue
4-Prince Rhinegold (IRE)Bryan CarverLinda Blackford76146lbs7.55/10
--Postponed LegacyBeau Morgan(5)Martin Keighley97167lbs-4/10
3-Anthracite (GB)Richie McLernonNeil Mulholland78148lbs5.52/10
--Ribba Hill (IRE)Tom BellamySyd Hosie98168lbs6.06/10
6-Forest Hills (IRE)Ciaran GethingsCarroll Gray78148lbs51.01/10
2-Victory Shout (FR)Paddy Hanlon(5)Syd Hosie98168lbs4.37/10
7-Ugo Bingo (FR)Brendan PowellJoe Tizzard95165lbs4.35/10
5-Saucats (FR)Ben GodfreyJoe Tickle73143lbs7.54/10
1-Little Lady Lucy (IRE)Bradley Harris(3)Neil Mulholland72142lbs34.01/10