Ffos Las

Sunday, 12 April 2026 · 2m3½f · Good To Soft · chase · Class Class 5 · £3,697

completedLast analysed: 12/04/2026, 20:40:21

Race Assessment

Class 5 handicap chase over 2m3½f on good to soft going. Boston Joe looks the most likely winner having won over C&D last time and taken well to Ffos Las. Lunar Ocean remains a maiden but has been second six times over fences and looks the main danger with visor retained.

Key Factors

  • Course form crucial - Boston Joe has excellent Ffos Las record
  • Several maidens seeking breakthrough
  • Equipment changes on several runners
  • Good to soft conditions suit most

Going

Good to soft conditions should suit most runners, particularly those with previous form on similar ground. L'Empire Vert showed best form on good ground which may count against.

Pace

Likely to be a moderate pace with few front-runners. L'Empire Vert made all last time and could set the tempo again. This may suit hold-up horses like Lunar Ocean and Boston Joe.

Recommendations (2)

Manhattan Valley (FR)

eachway7/10Confidence: 5/10

Interesting handicap debutant with solid point form who could be well-handicapped off 83. The 94-day break suggests connections have had time to prepare him properly, and Christian Williams knows how to place horses. At 13.0, he offers value against a field of mainly exposed performers.

Suggested stake: 1.5% of bank

Italian Spirit (IRE)

eachway7/10Confidence: 5/10

Shaped much better in blinkers last time at Exeter despite the bare result, and the drop back from 3m to 2m3½f looks ideal. At 12.0 in a weak race, he offers each-way value despite being winless over fences.

Suggested stake: 1.5% of bank

Runner Analysis

Calli Black

0/10Conf: 0/10

Non-runner, withdrawn from the race.

Fair odds: 0.0
Market: 0.0

Dublin To Milan (IRE)

4/10Conf: 3/10

Struggled since switching to chasing with two pull-ups but has pointing experience that suggests better is possible. The return to smaller field may help but needs to prove he can complete the course.

Fair odds: 9.5
Market: 8.5
Edge: -11%
Strengths
  • + Pointing background
  • + Smaller field may help
Concerns
  • - Two pull-ups over fences
  • - Poor trainer form
  • - Hasn't shown chase form yet

Lunar Ocean (IRE)

6/10Conf: 7/10

Consistent performer who has been second six times over fences and shaped well in visor last time at Plumpton. Still a maiden but clearly has ability and this trip suits.

Fair odds: 4.5
Market: 4.0
Edge: -11%
Strengths
  • + Consistent placings over fences
  • + Good recent form
  • + Visor helping
  • + Solid jockey booking
Concerns
  • - Still a maiden
  • - Needs to find winning touch

Ezmerellda (IRE)

3/10Conf: 2/10

Hurdles winner in 2023 but form for new stable is unconvincing and switch to chasing needs to spark major improvement. Hard to fancy at current level.

Fair odds: 45.0
Market: 41.0
Edge: -9%
Strengths
  • + Previous hurdles winner
Concerns
  • - Poor recent form
  • - New stable struggles
  • - Unproven over fences

Manhattan Valley (FR)

7/10Conf: 5/10

Interesting newcomer to handicap chasing with solid point form. The 94-day break and Christian Williams yard could have him primed for improvement on handicap debut.

Fair odds: 11.0
Market: 13.0
Edge: 18%
Strengths
  • + Good point form
  • + Handicap/chase debut
  • + Fresh after break
  • + Proven trainer
Concerns
  • - Unconvincing over hurdles
  • - Amateur jockey
  • - Needs to translate point form

Boston Joe (IRE)

6/10Conf: 8/10

Course specialist with excellent Ffos Las record (4-15) who won over C&D last time. Goes up 4lb but looks the most reliable performer in the field.

Fair odds: 3.5
Market: 4.0
Edge: 14%
Strengths
  • + Excellent course record
  • + Won last time over C&D
  • + Proven at this level
Concerns
  • - Up 4lb in weights
  • - Age factor at 10

L'Empire Vert (FR)

5/10Conf: 6/10

Made all to win last time but that was over 2m and best form is on good ground rather than current conditions. The step back up in trip is questionable.

Fair odds: 11.0
Market: 10.0
Edge: -9%
Strengths
  • + Won last time
  • + Front-running style
Concerns
  • - Prefers good ground
  • - Best form over 2m
  • - Distance question

Golden Millie (GB)

5/10Conf: 4/10

Lightly raced mare making chase debut but has course form with bumper win here in 2022. The combination of chasing debut and return to Ffos Las could spark improvement.

Fair odds: 14.0
Market: 13.0
Edge: -7%
Strengths
  • + Course winner
  • + Lightly raced
  • + Chase debut
Concerns
  • - Unproven over fences
  • - Limited recent form

Just Aidan (IRE)

4/10Conf: 3/10

Mixed results since switching to chasing and was disappointing favourite last time. The cheekpieces haven't sparked improvement yet and trainer form is poor.

Fair odds: 18.0
Market: 15.0
Edge: -17%
Strengths
  • + Proven ability
Concerns
  • - Disappointing recent form
  • - Poor trainer form
  • - Equipment changes not working

Italian Spirit (IRE)

7/10Conf: 5/10

Winless over fences but shaped better in blinkers last time at Exeter. The drop back to this trip from 3m looks ideal and could spark improvement.

Fair odds: 10.0
Market: 12.0
Edge: 20%
Strengths
  • + Better effort last time
  • + Drop in trip suits
  • + Blinkers helping
Concerns
  • - Winless over fences
  • - Poor trainer form

Devilsrollthedice (IRE)

4/10Conf: 4/10

Maiden with pointing experience but folded tamely over 3m last time. The drop back in trip may help but needs to prove he can stay involved over fences.

Fair odds: 11.0
Market: 9.5
Edge: -14%
Strengths
  • + Pointing experience
  • + Drop in trip
Concerns
  • - Still a maiden
  • - Folded tamely last time
  • - Unproven over fences

Ferando (IRE)

4/10Conf: 3/10

Six-race maiden trying cheekpieces for first time instead of tongue-tie. Needs significant improvement to feature but equipment change could help.

Fair odds: 15.0
Market: 12.0
Edge: -20%
Strengths
  • + Equipment change
  • + Low weight
Concerns
  • - Six-race maiden
  • - Poor recent form
  • - Unproven

No Value

Boston Joe (IRE)

Likely winner with excellent course record but odds of 4.0 accurately reflect his strong chance

Lunar Ocean (IRE)

Solid second-string chance but odds of 4.0 fairly price his consistent placing record

Avoid

Ezmerellda (IRE)

Poor form for new stable and switch to chasing needs to spark major improvement that seems unlikely

Just Aidan (IRE)

Disappointing since equipment changes and trainer form is very poor at 0/7

Runners (12)

PosDrawHorseJockeyTrainerORWeightOddsValue
--Calli BlackNON-RUNNERDavid Weston92161lbs-0/10
11-Dublin To Milan (IRE)Ned Fox(3)Clive Boultbee-Brooks83152lbs8.54/10
4-Lunar Ocean (IRE)Gavin SheehanBilly Aprahamian78147lbs4.06/10
3-Just Aidan (IRE)James BestHarriet Dickin88157lbs15.04/10
5-Boston Joe (IRE)Ben JonesRebecca Curtis99168lbs4.06/10
7-Devilsrollthedice (IRE)Sean HoulihanGordon Treacy80149lbs9.54/10
9-Ezmerellda (IRE)Charlie PriceSarah-Jayne Davies73142lbs41.03/10
8-Manhattan Valley (FR)Mr J J Murphy-Knight(7)Christian Williams87156lbs13.07/10
1-L'Empire Vert (FR)Callum Pritchard(3)Sheila Lewis91160lbs10.05/10
6-Golden Millie (GB)Charlie DeutschDan Horsford89158lbs13.05/10
2-Italian Spirit (IRE)Miss Megan Bevan(7)Harriet Dickin86155lbs12.07/10
10-Ferando (IRE)Tom CannonBarry John Murphy73142lbs12.04/10